Our early Browns vs. Patriots predictions and leans are high on Cleveland's defense.
The New England Patriots are riding a four-game winning streak heading into their Week 8 matchup at Gillette Stadium against the Cleveland Browns.
Cleveland’s defense has been its calling card, and my Browns vs. Patriots predictions play a massive role in my early spread and game total leans.
Read on for my NFL picks for Sunday, October 26.
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Browns vs Patriots predictions
Here are our early thoughts on the spread and total for this week’s game. We will have a full game preview (with a best bet and SGP) later in the week.
Early Browns vs Patriots spread pick: Browns +7
The Cleveland Browns’ defense is its greatest asset, and it should be the key factor in Sunday’s matchup against the New England Patriots at Gillette Stadium.
After a dominant 31-6 win over Miami in Week 7, Cleveland has shown that if it can apply pressure to the quarterback, it can and does control the pace of a game.
Rookie running back Quinshon Judkins scored three rushing touchdowns, and the Browns’ blossoming ground game has allowed rookie QB Dillon Gabriel to manage the game efficiently, keeping drives alive and minimizing mistakes.
New England quarterback Drake Maye has been under heavy pressure all season, taking four sacks against Tennessee last week alone, though he has thrown only two interceptions this year.
Cleveland’s defense has turned into a serious weapon. Its offense is beginning to take shape, and I’ll take the points and back the Browns to cover the spread.
Early Browns vs Patriots total pick: Under 40.5
The Browns’ defense is the story of this matchup and a major reason to consider the Under.
Cleveland has been stout all season, consistently limiting big plays, generating turnovers, and pressuring opposing quarterbacks.
Gabriel manages the game carefully behind a potent ground attack, which allows the Browns to control the clock and keep drives methodical.
Judkins’ recent three-touchdown performance against Miami demonstrated the Browns’ ability to dominate time of possession, and New England's defense has been tough in its own right.
Maye has been under siege this season, taking four sacks against Tennessee last week, which further points to a lower-scoring contest.
While the Patriots have big-play capabilities, Cleveland’s combination of defensive toughness and a clock-grinding ground game should keep the game tightly contested and the total below the number.
Browns vs Patriots odds
- Browns vs. Patriots spread: Patriots -7
- Browns vs. Patriots moneyline: Browns +260, Patriots -320
- Browns vs. Patriots Over/Under: 40.5
How to watch Browns vs Patriots
- Browns vs. Patriots matchup
- Date: Sunday, October 26, 2025, 1:00 p.m. ET
- City: Foxborough, MA
- Venue: Gillette Stadium
- TV: DAZN
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Category: Football
