The ESPN Football Power Index offers an analytical way to predict the victor of each Rutgers Football game this season.
After defeating the Ohio Bobcats earlier in the week, Rutgers Football will return to SHI Stadium this upcoming weekend for another non-conference matchup as the Miami (OH) RedHawks comes to town. But before kickoff happens on Saturday, let’s take a look at the Scarlet Knights chance in every game this season with the help of ESPN’s Football Power Index.
Thanks to ESPN’s FPI, there is now an analytical way to predict the victor of each college football game in the entire nation. For those that aren’t familiar with the FPI, you can read the definition of the index here.
Football Power Index (abbreviated as FPI) is a predictiverating system developed by ESPN that measures team strength and uses it to forecast game and season results in American football. Each team’s FPI rating is composed of predictive offensive, defensive, and special teams value, as measured by a function of expected points added (EPA). That rating is the basis for FPI’s game-level and season-level projections.
In the chart below, you can see the likelihood of Rutgers Football winning each of the games on the 2025 schedule.
| GAME / OPPONENT | LIKELIHOOD OF VICTORY | CHANGE FROM LAST WEEK |
| Sept. 6th vs. Miami-Ohio | 81.2% | -11.5 |
| Sept. 13th vs. Norfolk State | 99.0% | No Change. |
| Sept. 19th vs. Iowa | 50.8% | -0.6% |
| Sept. 27th @ Minnesota | 39.5% | -0.5% |
| Oct. 10th @ Washington | 29.9% | -6.0% |
| Oct. 18th vs. Oregon | 22.6% | -7.5 |
| Oct. 25th @ Purdue | 65.1% | -13.8% |
| Nov. 1st @ Illinois | 34.7% | -5.5% |
| Nov. 8th vs. Maryland | 50.9% | -11.2% |
| Nov. 22nd @ Ohio State | 9.9% | -3.0% |
| Nov. 29th vs. Penn State | 16.5% | -1.9% |
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