The Chicago Bears and Las Vegas Raiders square off on Sunday, here are three player props to consider playing from @BillTZimmerman.
Gambling on the NFL is always a roller coaster. That’s why you should always gamble responsibly. As Christopher “Mad Dog” Russo always likes to say, “Never bet the grocery money.” Last Sunday against the Cowboys was the perfect example of that.
We went 1-2 for the second consecutive week, putting our year-long record at 5-4. We were an eyelash from another 3-0 week, but Dak Prescott was pulled from the game when he was just 10 yards from his over total (Joe Milton would throw for 41 more yards), and Cole Kmet never saw another target after his first-half touchdown despite needing just 5 more yards for that over. But that’s life. That’s gambling. We move on.
With the Bears headed to Vegas to take on the Raiders, here are three more props for your consideration (odds courtesy of FanDuel).
Caleb Williams OVER 225.5 Passing Yards -114
I was surprised at this number when I first looked at it. Williams threw for almost 300 yards last week, and the Raiders are one of the bottom 10 passing defenses in the league. The Raiders’ cornerbacks are suspect at best, and it’s hard to imagine that Ben Johnson doesn’t create some open receivers for Williams to utilize with intermediate and deep routes against this secondary.
I don’t see any reason why Williams doesn’t clear 250 yards passing in this game. The only way would be a Bears blowout where they run the ball mostly in the second half, and I just don’t see that outcome as likely.
Ashton Jeanty OVER 67.5 Rushing Yards -114
This number is a little higher than I would have liked, but we are going to play it anyway. Jeanty should see 15 to 20 carries, and although he’s only averaging 3.1 yards per carry on the season, that’s largely due to the suspect Raiders offensive line.
The Bears are giving up 5.5 yards per carry on the season, and I think the struggling Raiders offensive line has more success against a Bears defensive front that’s been pretty mediocre as a group through three games. I think Jeanty is closer to 4 yards a carry, and as long as he gets the volume of carries expected, he should be north of 70 or 80 yards on Sunday.
Brock Bowers UNDER 57.5 Receiving Yards -114
Betting against Brock Bowers seems like a stupid thing to do. He was an absolute force throughout his rookie year, and in week one of this season, he picked up right where he left off with 103 receiving yards. But Bowers injured his knee and hasn’t looked like the same guy in each of the last two weeks, tallying just 38 receiving yards in each game.
With Tremaine Edmunds’ size and Bowers still appearing on the Raiders injury report, we are going to roll the dice that Bowers doesn’t return to form this week, and while he may get close to the number, we think he falls on the under side of the ledger this week.
Category: General Sports