ESPN Matchup Predictor updates chances of Ohio State winning remaining games after Week 8

Nobody likes a good prediction more than we do here at Buckeyes Wire. In fact, we get into it ourselves when the time comes and will throughout the 2025 Ohio State and college football season.

But if you've followed us at all, you know we like to check in on what the ESPN matchup predictor says about the probability of Ohio State winning each game on its schedule every week. The ESPN computers always adjust the percentages after the latest slate of games, and we like to check in each time.

The Buckeyes notched another road win against Wisconsin on Saturday and will now take a week off before hosting Penn State in a couple of weeks. Other teams on OSU's remaining schedule were also in action, and it all resulted in ESPN updating the chances of Ohio State winning each of its remaining regular-season games. Which way did the percentages move with Michigan, Penn State, and Oregon? What about the rest of the schedule, such as UCLA, Rutgers, and Purdue?

Here's what ESPN's matchup predictor reports. We include games already played and the results, which in this case include a 7-0 start for the Scarlet and Gray.

First up ... Games Completed

Aug. 30 vs. Texas Longhorns

Location | Ohio Stadium (Columbus, Ohio)

Predicted winner | Texas (53.3%)

Actual result | Ohio State won 14-7

All-time series | Ohio State leads 3-2

Actual Record | 1-0

Sept. 6 vs. Grambling State

Location | Ohio Stadium (Columbus, Ohio)

Predicted winner | Ohio State (99%)

Buckeyes win probability | 99% (no change)

Actual result | Ohio State won 77-0

All-time series | Ohio State leads 1-0

Actual running record | 2-0

Sept. 13 vs. Ohio

Location | Ohio Stadium (Columbus, Ohio)

Predicted winner | Ohio State

Buckeyes win probability | 95.4%

Actual result | Ohio State won 37-9

All-time series | Ohio State leads 8-0

Actual running record | 3-0

Sept. 27 at Washington

Location | Husky Stadium (Seattle, Washington)

Predicted winner | Ohio State

Buckeyes win probability | 68.8%

Actual result | Ohio State won 24-6

All-time series | Ohio State leads 10-3

Actual running record | 4-0

Oct. 4 vs. Minnesota

Location | Ohio Stadium (Columbus, Ohio)

Predicted winner | Ohio State

Buckeyes win probability | 94.7% (up from 94.2%)

Actual result | Ohio State won 42-3

All-time series | Ohio State leads 49-7

Actual running record | 5-0

Nov. 11 at Illinois

Location | Memorial Stadium (Champaign, Illinois)

Predicted winner | Ohio State

Buckeyes win probability | 82.3% (up from 81%)

Actual result | Ohio State won 34-16

All-time series | Ohio State leads 70-30-4

Actual running record | 6-0

Next ... Games to be played

Oct. 18 at Wisconsin

Location | Camp Randall Stadium (Madison, Wisconsin)

Predicted winner | Ohio State

Buckeyes win probability | 94.8% (up from 91%)

Actual result | Ohio State won 34-0

All-time series | Ohio State leads 64-18-5

Actual running record | 7-0

Nov. 1 vs. Penn State

Location | Ohio Stadium (Columbus, Ohio)

Predicted winner | Ohio State

Buckeyes win probability | 87.9% (up from 86.3%)

All-time series | Ohio State leads 26-14

Projected running record | 8-0

Nov. 8 at Purdue

Location | Ross-Ade Stadium (West Lafayette, Indiana)

Predicted winner | Ohio State

Buckeyes win probability | 97.1% (up from 96.3%)

All-time series | Ohio State leads 43-15-2

Projected running record | 9-0

Nov. 15 vs. UCLA

Location | Ohio Stadium (Columbus, Ohio)

Predicted winner | Ohio State

Buckeyes win probability | 97.8% (up from 97.6%)

All-time series | Series tied 4-4-1

Projected running record | 10-0

Nov. 22 vs. Rutgers

Location | Ohio Stadium (Columbus, Ohio)

Predicted winner | Ohio State

Buckeyes win probability | 96.9% (up from 94.5%)

All-time series | Ohio State leads 10-0

Projected running record | 11-0

Nov. 29 at Michigan

Location | Michigan Stadium (Ann Arbor, Michigan)

Predicted winner | Ohio State

Buckeyes win probability | 75.3% (up from 74.5%)

All-time series | Michigan leads 62-52-6

Projected running record | 12-0

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This article originally appeared on Buckeyes Wire: ESPN updates Ohio State chances of winning remaining games on schedule