Whether you're looking for traditional spread/total picks or prop plays for Monday night's Bills/Falcons clash, the NFL experts at Covers are ready to help on October 13.
The Buffalo Bills and the Atlanta Falcons will kick off another Monday Night Football doubleheader at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on October 13.
Check out these Bills vs. Falcons predictions and free NFL picks from our football betting experts!
Bills vs Falcons MNF predictions
- Falcons +3.5 (-105 at bet365)
- Under 50 (-110 at bet365)
- Kincaid anytime TD (+250 at bet365)
- Robinson Over 76.5 rush yds (-110 at bet365)
Bills vs Falcons MNF best bets
Falcons +3.5
Josh Inglis believes the Buffalo Bills will escape Mercedes-Benz Stadium with a win, but prefers the Atlanta Falcons against the spread tonight.
"Atlanta lost as a 5-point favorite in Carolina in Week 3 in a bad 30-0 loss, but it has been said that there were some communication issues with OC Zac Robinson, which is why he has moved from the booth to field level. Michael Penix had his best game as a starter with Robinson on the field calling the plays."
Under 50
Inglis leans toward the Under on a high total despite the setting.
"I get that it's an indoor game, but Atlanta was just shut out two games ago. I'm not touching it, but I do prefer the Under at 50."
Bills vs Falcons MNF TD picks
Dalton Kincaid anytime TD
Zak Hanshew is looking for a tight end touchdown in Atlanta tonight.
"Dalton Kincaid is off to the best start of his career, racking up 20 catches for 287 yards and three scores through the first four games of the season. The third-year man scored just two touchdowns in each of his first two seasons, and Josh Allen has looked his way five times in the red zone thus far."
Hanshew notes that Kincaid is officially listed as questionable, but has a backup plan in mind if he can't suit up.
"If he’s unable to go, I’ll be targeting Dawson Knox, who would get an immediate bump in playing time should Kincaid be sidelined."
Bills vs Falcons MNF props
Bijan Robinson Over 76.5 rushing yards
Jeremy Jones believes Bijan Robinson will run wild vs. a Bills defense that's struggled to stop opposing running backs so far this year.
"Bijan Robinson is one of the most explosive backs in the league, currently averaging 4.9 yards per carry through four games. Meanwhile, the Buffalo Bills have allowed the third-highest explosive run rate to running backs and the third-highest yards after contact per carry in the NFL."
Bills vs Falcons odds
Bills vs Falcons game info
| Location: | Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA |
| Date: | Monday, October 13, 2025 |
| Kickoff: | 7:15 p.m. ET |
| TV: | ESPN |
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Category: Football
